Asian markets retreat, dollar up on rate speculation
HONG KONG, Aug 22, (AFP) – Asian traders moved cautiously Monday while the dollar rose on bets on a US interest rate hike this year after the Federal Reserve’s vice chairman said country’s economy was picking up. Stanley Fischer said Sunday the world’s top economy was meeting all the Fed’s targets and that growth would improve, hinting that borrowing costs could rise this year.
Fischer was speaking as his boss, Janet Yellen, prepares to give a closely watched speech at the Jackson Hole gathering of global central bankers Friday. His comments provided some much-needed support to the dollar following the release last week of minutes showing Fed policymakers wanted to keep their “options open” for monetary policy as they assess the global outlook.
The board was divided on the near-term danger of inflation, with some seeing little threat but others worried that there could be a sudden upward push on prices as the jobs market tightens.However, the latest comments raised the possibility that the bank could lift rates at its next policy meeting next month.
In early trade the dollar bought 100.78 yen, up from 100.20 yen in New York Friday and much better than the levels below 100 yen touched in the middle of last week following disappointing economic data.The euro eased to $1.1279 from $1.1324.- Oil retreats -“Janet Yellen’s speech on Friday will have the biggest impact on short-term market moves, especially if she follows in Stanley Fischer’s relatively hawkish tone,” Angus Nicholson, a market analyst at IG Ltd, told Bloomberg News.
The weaker yen helped Japan’s Nikkei stock index to end 0.3 percent higher, although other markets struggled. Sydney fell 0.2 percent, Hong Kong eased 0.5 percent in the afternoon and Shanghai closed 0.8 percent lower. There were also steep losses in Seoul, Singapore and Taipei.
Oil prices sank more than one percent after last week’s rally after Iraq said at the weekend that it intends to increase shipments, according to Bloomberg News, while US firms again increased their rig count. The stronger dollar also hit demand as it makes crude more expensive for anyone holding other currencies.
West Texas Intermediate slipped 1.7 percent to $47.69 and Brent fell 1.8 percent to $49.95.
The losses come after a seven-day rally that saw the commodity enter a bull market — a 20 percent rise from recent lows — as it emerged that the OPEC producers club and its rivals will meet next month, with speculation they could discuss ways to tackle an oversupplied market.However, there remain doubts about whether a deal to address output would be reached.
“The stars remain misaligned for an OPEC/non-OPEC freeze agreement, but it is beneficial for producers to talk,” British bank Barclays said in a market analysis.
Key figures at 0700 GMT
Tokyo – Nikkei 225: UP 0.3 percent at 16,598.19 (close)
Shanghai – Composite: DOWN 0.8 percent at 3,084.81 (close)
Hong Kong – Hang Seng: DOWN 0.5 percent at 22,831.92
Dollar/yen: UP at 100.78 from 100.20 yen
Euro/dollar: DOWN at $1.1279 from $1.1324 Friday
Pound/dollar: DOWN at $1.3047 from $1.3080
New York – DOW: DOWN 0.2 percent at 18,552.57 (close)
London – FTSE 100: DOWN 0.15 percent at 6,858.95 (close)
